1 – If the nomination is undecided all the way to a vote on the floor.
2 – If the presumptive nominee is openly challenged on the floor.
3 – If the nominee secures presumptive victory between Super Tuesday and the end of the primaries.
4 – If the nominee secures presumptive victory at or before Super Tuesday.
5 – If the clear front-runner faces real challengers which are easily set aside.
6 – If the clear front-runner faces no real challengers.
The last five include the terms 'presumptive', 'real', 'easily' and 'clear'...all of which are entirely subjective terms. So, if we take Steele's opinion as the gospel truth, he has mathematically proved his case. Or, stated differently, he's proved nothing at all.
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